Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.235360 0.267092 0.301015 0.339921 0.383249 0.429958 0.484063
2025-10-05 0.194001 0.236775 0.285443 0.344708 0.414707 0.494518 0.592166
2025-10-12 0.166920 0.216925 0.276941 0.353822 0.449188 0.563055 0.708709
2025-10-19 0.143964 0.198014 0.266065 0.357244 0.475311 0.622035 0.817025
2025-10-26 0.127414 0.184488 0.259506 0.364121 0.504815 0.685865 0.934562
2025-11-02 0.115564 0.175340 0.257033 0.375115 0.539353 0.757301 1.065467
2025-11-09 0.101811 0.161626 0.246496 0.373441 0.555718 0.804691 1.166349
2025-11-16 0.090470 0.149897 0.237241 0.372121 0.571581 0.851343 1.267855
2025-11-23 0.080795 0.139446 0.228582 0.370430 0.586052 0.896028 1.368143
2025-11-30 0.074737 0.133896 0.226580 0.378135 0.614277 0.961295 1.500600
2025-12-07 0.067850 0.126164 0.220326 0.378473 0.630925 1.009934 1.610595
2025-12-14 0.061816 0.119158 0.214480 0.378726 0.647019 1.058047 1.721555
2025-12-21 0.056225 0.112513 0.208938 0.379517 0.664782 1.110894 1.844579
2025-12-28 0.052091 0.108015 0.206583 0.385321 0.690876 1.177947 1.992934
2026-01-04 0.049084 0.105260 0.206955 0.395678 0.724966 1.259240 2.167532
2026-01-11 0.045422 0.100813 0.203858 0.399620 0.748291 1.324141 2.318780
2026-01-18 0.042630 0.097753 0.202972 0.407309 0.778321 1.401262 2.493181
2026-01-25 0.040651 0.096114 0.204557 0.419506 0.816792 1.494065 2.697361
2026-02-01 0.037190 0.090954 0.198893 0.417684 0.829979 1.544520 2.832688
2026-02-08 0.034117 0.086260 0.193689 0.416241 0.843564 1.596013 2.971677
2026-02-15 0.031302 0.081796 0.188518 0.414380 0.856078 1.645959 3.109823
2026-02-22 0.029728 0.079985 0.188624 0.422899 0.888442 1.732242 3.314585
2026-03-01 0.027553 0.076492 0.184864 0.423275 0.905142 1.791027 3.473047